"A single reactor would, on average, experience an accident every ten thousand years — not much worry there. But we don’t have just one reactor, we have 420. The time for an accident at one of those 420 can be estimated by multiplying the number of Generation II reactors (420) by the frequency of core damage (10-4) and dividing it into one: Years for an accident at one plant ~ 1/(420 x 10-4) = ~ 25 years. So let’s see, Three Mile Island occurred 30 years ago. And now Japan … right about on time."As Dr. Chameides puts it, the nuclear accident in Japan should not come as a total surprise. Nuclear accidents are the price of doing nuclear business. Sure thing, the nuclear power industry is well aware of the risks, but whines about media sharpening knives now because they fear a new Cernobyl. They are not worried about the health risks for the people exposed to radiation, they are worried about environmentalists who will, once again, be coming out in force to call for nuclear plants to be shut down. They are worried about new building programs, that will be placed on hold due to a lack of political will to support them. And sure, they know that the building of new plants will continue as planned once the ‘moral panic’ subsides - but this may take a long, long time, and time is money. Isn't it? The nuclear industry is worried about its pockets, all right: There can be no worse PR for nuclear power than live television images of not one, not two, but three reactor buildings exploding and mushroom clouds of smoke billowing into a clear blue Japanese sky, - writes Tim Probert. Poor, poor nuclear industry stakeholders! This disaster really, really affected them. Damn that tsunami!


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