On the Real Costs of Arab World Uprisings

Two years ago the New York Times reported on a secret directive by President Obama to produce a report on unrest in the Arab world. Today many Egyptians are bloodied or worse because of what must be far reaching strategies leveled onto the region, leveled onto the people of the world. NSA and other secret missions, the mad hunt for a young whistleblower, rivers of blood flowing, who really is responsible for all this turmoil?


RISK, the game of global domination – courtesy wikiHow

I don’t suppose most people reading this actually have the time to consider global geo-strategy, the larger scope of so-called anti-terror, war room intricacies, not even NSA spying topics for the matter. Most people are just too busy solving their everyday problems. But my question for you is; “What if these issues will end up making your personal situation even more dire, your personal life a lot less wonderful?”

Yesterday police opened fire on protesting supporters of ousted President Mohamed Morsi. If one listens to the reports from the Muslim Brotherhood, 4,000 people were treated for injuries. 66 people killed, and another 61 “brain dead” according to that group’s leadership, doctors treating the wounded reportedly called the shootings “crimes against humanity”.

It’s a bit ironic that Egypt’s Armed Forces Chief General Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi had called for people to take to the streets in protest only hours before these Muslim Brotherhood protests began. In a surreal moment of clarity now, the Brotherhood’s premonition this call would be one to summon the opposition of the current regime to slaughter…

Begin, Carter and Sadat

Begin, Carter and Sadat at Camp David – Courtesy Wikipedia

The Further Desertification of Desert Peoples’ Hopes for Peace

This is Egypt, what has been the most stable and westward cooperative nation in the region since the Camp David Accords. It seems abundantly clear that the western intelligence community has ever more been bolstered ever since the admitted “failed intel” just before the 1973 conflict. This is crucial to pinning down what is going on in the Middle East now. Case in point, this document (PDF) where the Muslim Brotherhood is mentioned, and where internal pressures inside Egypt were likely prompting an attack on the Israel occupied Sinai seemed abundantly imminent back then.

As further indication that US policy makers have always been involved in these strategic situations, another de-classified set of documents come from the Kissinger camp on the day the Yom Kippur War started 7:22 pm-8:27 pm. 6 October 1973, and I quote in part:

“The Israelis will go to an all-out attack, get a ceasefi re resolution drafted, grab as much territory as they can, then accept the ceasefire…” – Dr. Henry Kissinger – 

How the rest of the Middle East, the Arab world, the situation and circumstance across this part of the world has to be looked at from the broad scope. Did half the people in these separate countries just all-of-a-sudden decide on revolution? One by one, some sort of weird domino effect has taken place by chance. From Morocco to Turkey, in a continuous “line” one government after another has been in turmoil over dissent. It’s almost like the Mediterranean Sea is being cordoned off, or rather Europe is encroaching onto North Africa. Bold strategic conspiratorial, you say?

When WikiLeaks stunned the world with mountains of unedited official documents back in 2011 there was a lot of “muddy water” being stirred to cover up the facts surrounding US policy. However, despite efforts to paint Julian Assange as some sort of instigator of Arab Spring, key documentation showed just how entrenched the so-called “west” is in everything labeled “Middle East” today. One case of crystal clarity emerged when the Director General of the Al Jazeera Network, Wadah Khanfar, was replaced when cables showed he “caved in” to US demands he “tint” Al Jazeera’s coverage of the War in Iraq. Even despite the New York Times and others playing “softball” with US maneuvering in the Middle East, anyone with a thoughtful mind can discern there’s more than some “humanitarian support” going on here.

Syria - is it just a game? - Courtesy Khalid Albaih

Syria – is it just a game? – Courtesy Khalid Albaih

Anyone playing the strategic game RISK (feature image), would think some mighty hand out there is creating a sort of “buffer zone” to protect a fortified Europe. For the reader to more fully grasp the magnitude of current events, it’s important to understand these “conflicts” did not just begin. The so-called Muslim Brotherhood has been at odds with the US and Israeli strategic intentions since the 1973 Arab-Israeli conflict, and even before. Just recently de-classified CIA documents weigh interestingly, and heavily, on the events taking place before our weary eyes. I quote below from a dispatch to then Secretary of State Henry Kissinger from the Ambassador to Tehran, Richard Helms. The cable talks about a discourse with Egyptian Foreign Minister Zayyat and the Helms over US intervention in the Egypt-Israel situation back then:

“… Sadat is in precarious domestic situation and that new leaders might take over Egyptian army at almost any time. Asked by Shah who these leaders might be, Zayyat hemmed and hawed, fi nally said quote
Muslim Brotherhood unquote…”

To sum up what is going on in the Middle East right now, maybe it’s a good idea to look at recent comments made by someone imminently familiar with this region, and from the American perspective. Recently, former US President Jimmy Carter commented on the events in Egypt and these NSA spying revelations. In a Das Spiegel report, Carter is quoted as saying the US currently has, “no functioning democracy”, referring to the Constitutionality of civil freedoms infringed upon there. As for Egypt, the world leader who effectively settled the only real Israeli-Arab accord in history, is appalled at a military junta taking over in Egypt.

Impartiality: An Unpopular Belief

From this observers watch post, the US strategy here is in effect “game rigging” to leverage a more “suitable” Israeli outcome for any ensuing talks. The Palestinian question notwithstanding, playing the game of detente with the blood of innocents, is a very dangerous game indeed. If Israeli influence is largely behind these moves the larger question hovers over humanity, “Just what kind of peace and truth will ever come out of an unfair and unjust blood game?” 

Algeria 2011 - protesters defy ban on demonstrations - Courtesy Magharebia

Algeria 2011 – protesters defy ban on demonstrations – Courtesy Magharebia

From a geographer’s viewpoint, just looking at the map of dissent across the Arab world makes clear a resounding bit of curiosity. Alone amid this turmoil, and in the middle of a “ring” of bloody upheaval a lone spot of relative stability and peace shines through. This article by William S. Lind at The American Conservative, it points a barometer needle at the whole Arab Spring-Israel situation with a decidedly ominous warning for the Israelis and for their current strategies-allegiances.

The world’s most prolific expert on the strategies in the background,  Israeli military historian and theorist, Martin van Creveld relates in interesting “insider’s” view form Israel. When asked a series of critical questions about the Middle East now Egypt, Syria and Jordan emerge as what could be called the next dinner menu for US intervention. Asked whether the so-called Arab Spring will mean Spring or Fall for Israel, he retorts:

“…The fate of Syria hangs in the balance, but it is entirely possible that the fall of the Assad regime will result in anarchy and cause Syria to turn into a second Afghanistan, a base for anti-Israel terrorism. Jordan too is not necessarily immune….”

While Van Creveld is not an advocate of far reaching intervention theories from a neoconservative America, the synergy and implications remain. And of Van Crevald, let me end here with something from another interview he participated in. In answer to the question of whether or not “war” will be with humanity 1000 years from now, one of the world’s foremost thinkers in the area responds:

“…As history since Hiroshima shows, the best, perhaps the only, way to curb war is to deter it with such overwhelming force as to turn it from a struggle into suicide. The best way to mitigate it is to use all possible means to bring it to a speedy end…”

Casualties of war

IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz salutes at Yom Kippur War memorial – courtesy Wikipedia

What’s Good for Israel and the US May Not be Current Policy

My only real contention here is this. With so many internal and external influences taking place in the Middle East since Israel was recognized in 1948, why can’t everyone concerned imagine the wholly incorrect course of action by ALL the parties concerned? The tens of thousands dead, the hundreds of thousands wounded or displaced across the landscape of the Arab world, doesn’t anyone consider a total revamp of strategies?

There probably should be an argument along the lines of what Van Crevald’s contention up there. Could all out war from the onset have been much worse? The pain of this conflict appears to have no happen ending, not ever. But for the United States of America, being part of the problem seems a very sad legacy indeed.

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